![]() ![]() ![]() McGrail said, is there are many factors influencing mortality now that are different from before the pandemic. Statistics Canada explained it uses a statistical model to estimate weekly expected deaths based on mortality trends from 2015-19 while considering changes in age, sex and total population. Rather, they signal a need for deeper analysis. Similarly, in an e-mailed statement, Statistics Canada said unusual excess deaths don’t necessarily speak to COVID-19′s impact on Canada. ![]() Kim McGrail, a professor at the University of British Columbia’s Centre for Health Services and Policy Research, said she thinks of excess mortality as “an indication that there’s something happening that’s worth investigating,” but it doesn’t indicate what is actually happening or what to do about it.Ĭhina’s economic misery threatens global recovery from COVID-19, raising spectre of financial market chaos For example, if someone developed a serious health condition from an infection and died more than 28 days after testing positive, their death may not be considered a COVID-19 death in some jurisdictions. In addition to those that are not yet reported, there are potentially many deaths caused by COVID-19 that are not detected or not officially attributed to the disease, she added. That number is adjusted to subtract deaths from drug poisonings, suicides, mass homicide and a heat wave in B.C. Since the start of the pandemic until June, her group estimates there have been nearly 90,500 excess deaths in Canada, which is about double the number of Canadian deaths in the Second World War. “We absolutely need to know why we have historically high levels of death,” she said.Ī summer spike reminds us the pandemic isn’t over Moriarty, who is also an associate professor at the University of Toronto. What excess mortality says about the current state of the pandemic is uncertain, in part because of a slow, patchwork system of reporting deaths in Canada. That’s considerably lower than in 2022, “which was a horrific, really, really bad year in Canada, but it’s still higher than the first few years of the pandemic,” she said. Estimated excess mortality dipped in January and February, but the latest 2023 figures indicate it is about 15 per cent to 20 per cent higher than it was in 20, according to Tara Moriarty, an infectious-disease researcher and co-founder of the grassroots group COVID-19 Resources Canada. ![]()
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